Confirmation bias skews how evidence is gathered, hindsight bias skews how the past is remembered, and motivated reasoning skews conclusions toward what people want to be true.
Starter thread · AI-reviewed against its sources
The availability heuristic is a mental shortcut in which people judge how likely something is by how easily examples come to mind. It is often accurate but produces predictable errors.
Starter thread · AI-reviewed against its sources
Anchoring is the pull of an irrelevant number on later estimates. Meta-analyses find large average effects, but a well-powered replication found a much smaller one.
Starter thread · AI-reviewed against its sources
