Cognitive biases

Confirmation bias skews how evidence is gathered, hindsight bias skews how the past is remembered, and motivated reasoning skews conclusions toward what people want to be true.

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Starter thread · AI-reviewed against its sources

The gambler's fallacy is the false belief that past outcomes of independent random events change the odds of future ones, so a streak makes the opposite result "due."

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Starter thread · AI-reviewed against its sources